Dr. Kanan Makiya, the author, Dr. Joseph Sassoon and Sayed Hossein Qazwini |
The Harvard symposium raised the following question: Why has
youth as a category of analysis been largely ignored in the politics of the
Middle East? In Iraq, and in most of the
MENA region nation-states, youth constitute 70% of the population under the age
of 30. Unfortunately, the many authoritarian
regimes which control most MENA states fear youth.
The Arab Spring only reinforced this fear, leading to the
ouster of leaders in Egypt, Libya and Yemen. In Syria, the political graffiti and
peaceful demonstrations initiated by youth led to the start of a vicious civil war
whose end is still not in sight. Indeed,
in March 2016, Iraqi youth were instrumental in the resignation of many corrupt
ministers in the government.
After welcoming remarks by Roger Owen and Muhamed Almaliky,
I began the day with my presentation, “How should we envision a Post-Dacish
Iraq?” I argued that answering this question
involved a deeper understanding of 5 “critical junctures” which Iraq has faced
over the past 50 years. In other words,
to ask about “post Dacish Iraq” assumes we know what Iraq was like
prior to the rise of the IS when it seized one-third of Iraqi territory in 2014.
Iraq’s current challenges began with the 1979 coup in which
Saddam Husayn seized power from Muhammad Hasan al-Bakr and imposed what the
late Falih Abd al-Jabbar so aptly called the “family-party state (dawlat hizb al-usra).
Followed by the September 1980 invasion of Iran, in response
to continued verbal attacks on Saddam’s regime by Ayatollah Khomeini, Iraq
entered a period of rising sectarian tensions.
“Persians” became associated with Iraq’s majority Shi a population whose
loyalty was increasingly disparaged as the war dragged on.
The seizure of Kuwait in August 1990 and the Gulf War of
1991 represented the second critical juncture which was followed by the third,
the Intifada of March 1990 which was
suppressed by Saddam using helicopter gunships allowed to take to the air by
the US.
The brutal United Nations sanctions regime, which lasted
from 1991-2003, and caused the collapse of the national economy and education
system, constitutes the third critical juncture. Saddam’s so-called “Faith
Campaign,” launched under his sidekick, Izzat al-Duri in mid-1993, further strengthened sub-national
identities, already weakened by Iraq’s severe economic decline.
In 2003, the United States invaded Iraq on the pretext that
Saddam’s regime still possessed a substantial arsenal of chemical weapons. Appointing a sectarian based Iraqi Governing Council
in July 200-3 and handing Iraqi politics to a group of sectarian entrepreneurs,
or carpetbaggers, who lacked any commitment to building democracy, only undermined
Iraqi nationalism still further.
The final critical juncture occurred with the Dacish’s
seizure of Mosul and two thirds of Iraqi territory in 2014. The humiliation of the Iraqi Army in Mosul
and Iraq’s north central provinces underscored the corruption and sectarianism
of the Iraqi government at the time under the leadership of former Prime
Minister Nuri al-Maliki. The killing of large numbers of Shica
troops at Camp Speicher and the formation irregular militias, many of whom were
loyal to Iran, only added to the sectarian flavor of Iraqi politics.
Thus to speak of a post-Dacish Iraq has little meaning
without consideration of the cumulative effect of a long historical trajectory
of events which had serious negative impact on Iraq. The most damaging impact
was to erode a sense of “Iraqiness” which crossed the lines of ethnicity and
sect.
The key factor I emphasized in all these critical junctures
was that they do not prove the hypothesis of a sectarian Iraq. Quite the opposite is the case. Each decision
which produced a serious consequences was made by a small political elite.
Whether the decision by Saddam
Husayn and his immediate circle of cronies to invade Iran and later seize Kuwait, or decisions by exogenous forces, such as the George H.W. Bush's administration to expel Iraq from
Kuwait in January 1991 and impose UN sanctions, or George W. Bush’s decision to
invade Iraqi in 2003,or Iran’s efforts to take political advantage of the
militias formed in 2014 which it funded and controlled, the domestic populaces were excluded.
In all critical junctures, the Iraqi people had little or no
say. As I noted in my presentation, an
important part of the civic education of Iraqi youth is to inculcate them with
the understanding that destructive political leadership, not some inherent “flaw,”
namely sectarianism, is the cause of the problems Iraqi faces today.